Friday, December 21, 2007

Harney: Complex formulas govern aid to subprime borrowers

WASHINGTON - It may be the only test you flunk if you score too high: It's called the "FICO Test" and it is a key element of the sometimes arcane new guidelines governing which homeowners qualify for "fast track" interest rate freezes on their subprime mortgages, and those who don't.

The rate freeze and loan modification program, announced Dec. 6 at the White House, is a voluntary, non-governmental effort by major lenders, mortgage servicers and bond investors to provide alternatives to foreclosure for homeowners facing unaffordable payment resets during the coming two years.

Of the estimated 1.8 million subprime borrowers facing payment jumps, the plan is expected to help 1.2 million of them into an expedited rate freeze, a refinancing or a modification that makes their current loans more affordable. The rate freeze aspect of the program has attracted much of the media attention, but the precise details of how it works and who is eligible have been less widely publicized.

Here is a quick overview of the tests that subprime borrowers will need to pass to qualify for an interest rate freeze, generally for five years. Tops on the list is the FICO test. In this particular exercise, scoring high is bad. Scoring low keeps you in the game. If your FICO credit score was under 660 when you applied for your loan, and - here's the kicker - it hasn't improved by more than 10 percent in the meantime, you pass the test.

In other words, if you've got a FICO of 675, which in a traditional mortgage application context should qualify you for reasonably good terms, forget about a fast-track rate freeze. Your credit is too good, and you flunk. On the other hand, if you've got a FICO score of 610 or 620 - subprime credit territory by most lenders' standards - then you pass.

The idea, according to Tom Deutsch, deputy executive director of the American Securitization Forum and one of the principal drafters of the plan, is to weed out borrowers who may be credit-worthy enough to successfully pursue a refinancing, i.e., those with FICOs above 660. The fast-track rate freeze plan, Deutsch said in an interview, is aimed at pinpointing borrowers whose credit probably won't qualify them for a refinancing, and who are also unlikely to afford future payments on their current mortgages.

Now for the second test: If you want an expedited rate freeze on your mortgage, you must be "current" on your loan payments. That sounds fairly clear - but "current" in this context does not mean you always pay on time. Rather, it means that you're not more than 30 days behind right now, and you haven't been more than 60 days late anytime during the past 12 months.

An alternative, and more generous, standard used in the program allows homeowners to be no more than 60 days late at the moment, and no more than 90 days late during the past year. That may not be everybody's definition of "current," but it works for a fast-track rate freeze.

Next comes the "LTV Test." LTV stands for loan-to-value ratio - essentially a measure of how much equity you've got or the size of the down payment you made. Here again, doing "better" gets you busted. To succeed on the LTV test, you should have minimal equity in the house - under 3 percent. If you have more equity than that, goes the reasoning, you are less likely to default on the loan, and you're more likely to qualify for a refinancing. So you're out.

There are two final tests, both relatively straightforward: You have to occupy the house as your principal residence; and your monthly payment must be scheduled to increase by more than 10 percent after the scheduled reset.

Assuming you pass these tests, and your mortgage servicer believes there is a "reasonably foreseeable" prospect that you would default on your loan without a rate freeze, you are in. The rate freeze you receive, by the way, won't necessarily be limited to just five years. It all depends on your mortgage servicer's evaluation of your financial situation.

But what if you're part of the expected majority of subprime borrowers who flunk one or more of the tests to get a fast-track rate freeze? There's good news: You're still in the game. You may qualify for some other form of customized loan modification - a payment restructuring plan, a partial forgiveness of past arrears, a postponement of part of your debt or, in rare cases, even a rate reduction.

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source: mercurynews.com

Homeowners install wind turbines

WALNUT CREEK - The blades of a spinning turbine blur, pumping electricity as the wind whips through them - but it's not Altamont Pass, rather it's the home of Brad Laschinske, Oroville resident and alternative energy enthusiast.

Those whirring blades are already saving Laschinske about $400 a month in powering his six-acre ranch, dropping his monthly bill from $600 to $200. And it's not even prime wind season yet.

When seasonal winds pick up this month, Laschinske's bill will most likely drop to zero for three to five months, then return to about $200.

Estimates vary, but smaller homes in metropolitan areas can save as much as $2,000 a year using a wind turbine, experts say.

You can save $600 or more a year by using a wind turbine instead of solar energy, depending on a number of factors, according to Ron Stimmel, small wind advocate with the American Wind Energy Association.

The cost per kilowatt hour of electricity from a small wind turbine is about 10 to 11 cents, compared with about 18 cents per kilowatt hour for a solar photovoltaic installation, Stimmel said.

The cost of purchase and installation is often less than that of a solar roof, he said. The average installation cost for a wind turbine is between roughly $3 and $5 per watt of capacity, while installing a solar photovoltaic unit in a residence costs between $9 and $10 a watt, depending on the condition of the home and other factors.

But if you live in the Bay Area, you face a daunting set of obstacles if you want to install a wind turbine, thanks to bureaucratic hassles, disapproving neighbors and, in many cities, a lack of established procedures. Laschinske was able to take advantage of wind energy because he lives in Oroville.

"We preach a lot and say we want to use less energy and be sustainable, but we have a long way to go. If it doesn't look good in the neighbor's yard, we complain about it," said Lyall Hunter, founder and electrician at Excel Solar and Electric in Glen Ellen.

Hunter finally gave up trying to deal with the obstacles involved in wind turbine installation and dedicated his business to solar energy.

The idea of installing a wind turbine is so new, many cities haven't even begun to establish procedures for doing so. That's one of the biggest reasons there are almost no wind turbines in the backyards of homes in metropolitan areas.

Nowadays, it's commonplace to see solar panels on homes generating electricity for the residence and even putting power back into the state's energy distribution system. Indeed, California is under a mandate, Senate Bill 1, signed in August 2006, to have 1 million solar roofs by 2018.

But it wasn't always that way. Renewable energy advocates say the wind turbine industry must fight for recognition much as the solar industry did.

"We as pioneers had to work very hard with city inspectors and planning departments to educate them about the realities of solar, " said Muriel Thompson, a principal of SPG Solar of Novato.

"When you talk about the resistance to wind you probably have not had a pioneering company that was determined to fight through all this to get the cities to understand it," Thompson said.

A five-kilowatt wind turbine suitable for a two-bedroom residence costs about $20,000, according to Stimmel. This is comparable to a solar panel display for a typical California home. It takes six to 30 years to recoup the investment, he said.

"It depends on your wind resource quality, how much you pay for electricity and how tall your tower is," Stimmel said. The taller the tower, the greater the wind speeds and hence the power.

A wind turbine for a 1,000-square-foot house would need to be 40- to 100-feet tall to do an effective job, Stimmel said.

"Generally, a small wind turbine is less expensive than solar photovoltaic per watt," Stimmel said. California has a rebate program for wind turbine purchases, he said. For more information on the program, check www.dsireusa.org. "Even if you pay $55,000 for your system, it's only $27,000 after the rebate."

How long it takes to get the wind turbine installed depends on the permitting process, Stimmel said. "It can take one afternoon or even years."

Laschinske decided to purchase a turbine when he learned that the state was offering rebates.

"Energy prices are always going up," he said. His combined wind and solar energy system cost him $70,000, and he got a $30,000 rebate.

He's happy with his turbine, which he says makes just a faint swooshing noise. But others don't always see it that way. Noise and appearance are the two chief complaints about the turbines, proponents say.

"They do make a repetitive noise, whop, whop, whop, whop," Thompson said. "You who own the turbine are happy to live with it, perhaps, but your neighbors are not getting the benefits so they're not as crazy about it."

It's even a battle in liberal Berkeley, which has a wind turbine at its marina thanks in part to Alice La Pierre, an energy analyst for the city's office of energy and sustainable development.

With regard to residential turbines, La Pierre said, "There's no point in going into that fight if you don't have enough wind. Before they even consider it they should buy or rent an anemometer and put it up for six months to a year to measure the wind."

This step alone would probably be enough to deter most people. According to Stimmel and Hunter, it's seldom necessary to put up the measuring device. Experienced professionals can take a reading that will tell them whether there are sufficient wind resources, they said.

La Pierre continued, "Next, check with the local zoning ordinances. . . . You definitely have to have wet-stamped foundation drawings from a civil engineer. To get it through zoning, you need all these things. For final permitting you need a building and electrical permit."

This could be enough to discourage all but the most determined souls.

Despite all the fear and loathing around urban wind turbines, there's actually an 1,800-watt wind turbine helping to power a home at 25th and Alabama in San Francisco's Mission District.

The home, part of a project called the Idea House by Sunset Magazine, has had an operational wind turbine for a month, according to Scott Jackson of Evergreen Development in Chico. Jackson's firm consulted with the home's owners on their turbine. So far, there have been no problems with noise or complaints.

Jackson has a different perspective on wind turbines.

"There is a state law, A.B. 1207, that says if you've got three acres or more you can put up anything up to 100 feet," Jackson said. "If you live in town that doesn't mean you can't do it; you just have to go through the use permit process."

Jackson said Solano County is fairly open to wind turbines. He is confident that over time other jurisdictions will come on board.

"When you say, 'turbine,' you think of this big thing. What we do are single-site, single-point feeds, just for the homeowner's meter. We're one back yard at a time," Jackson said.

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source: mercurynews.com

Denver Real Estate Investments

I was reading blogs from around the real estate industry recently to find out where the market might be doing relatively better.

I found this Denver real estate blog that said that prices there have gone up every month since March. That was enough for me to call the author, Denver Realtor Larry Hotz, and ask him what was going on there.

“Spring and summer were really strong here in the better neighborhoods”, Larry Hotz. ” Of course, we have our foreclosure neighborhoods too where prices have gone down. But, my firm The Kentwood Company sells mainly luxury homes and our sales volume is up as well as average prices year-to-date.”

Larry said showings and sales of his listings have slowed down since Labor Day. But, there are no reliable statistics to show exactly how much yet.He believes sales will be softer but prices will be about flat though the rest of 2007. The Denver economy and employment continue to be strong supporting home prices. Over the summer Boeing and several other companies moved employees into Denver. Boeing moved over 600 employees from Huntington Beach, California to Littleton, a Denver suburb. If the Denver real estate trend continues, Larry believes the city might escape the lower prices of homes in other markets.

So, California looses 600 jobs to Denver. California prices are lower. Denver, at least so far, is about stable.

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source: adrhi.com

Boston Real Estate Not So Bad

Despite media reports of a slowing national real estate market, it seems that the Boston Real Estate market remains vibrant and strong, specifically Boston luxury real estate. In fact, Boston’s top neighborhoods of the Back Bay, Beacon Hill, Financial District and South End have all seen continuous growth during the past two years. You can read all about the Boston real estate market in The Bushari Team’s quarterly Boston Real Estate Market Report.

According to Elad Bushari of Gibson Sotheby’s International Realty in Boston, the strong Boston real estate market has partly to do with Boston’s booming financial industries. “We are seeing a lot more people searching for lofts near the financial district. In fact, prices there have jumped 17 percent in the 3Q 2007 as compared to last year.”

The Boston Real Estate Blog is another great source of information about Boston real estate, Boston Apartments and Boston Lofts.

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source: adrhi.com

Hawaii Foreclosures VS Nationawide Foreclosures

Hawaii foreclosures are on the rise. According to some of the stats, Hawaii foreclosure listings have doubled over the past year. There were 313 foreclosures filed on properties in the third quarter. That was 105% increase than the third quarter last year. Hawaii is still among one of the states with the fewest foreclosures ( Hawaii is ranked 40th).

Nationally, the rates continue to rise. Nevada has the highest percentage with one foreclosure filing for every 61 households. The amount of Las Vegas foreclosures is incredible. The Las Vegas real estate market was one of the strongest a few years ago with some of the largest appreciation the nation saw. No it looks like it is making a major correction.

California and Florida were the other two top states with the amount of filings. While San Diego foreclosures did not lead California, it was among the top big cities to get hammered with the amount of filings. Other top California cities that have allot of foreclosure filings are Los Angeles, Santa Ana, Chula Vista, Anaheim and Riverside. There is a Florida foreclosure filing for every 95 households. Big cities like Miami, Orlando and Jacksonville continue to increase monthly.

It looks like there will be some great buying opportunities in the future across the country. The big questions is when to jump in the market and take advantage of some of the great deals that are gong to be out there.

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source: adrhi.com